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« Back to comments"Who do you think will win Fields Medal in 2014?"
 From Arthur Adelson  1 minute ago.  
In order of likelyhood : Bhargava, Avila, Hairer, Mirzakhani. Various quota will enter into the decision if IMU decides to give four medals. If IMU decides to disregard any quota considerations, then they would give less than four medals, which has not happened since 2002.

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